Super El Niño Likely to Develop by Fall, NOAA Reports
Super El Niño Likely to Develop by Fall, NOAA Reports
US · Published Jul 10, 2026
NOAA has reported an 81% chance of a historically strong El Niño developing by this fall, potentially ranking among the strongest on record.
El Niño, a phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), is characterized by above-average water temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.

Impact & Risks

The development of a strong El Niño could significantly reduce hurricane activity in the Atlantic due to increased wind shear, which hinders tropical storm formation. Conversely, the Pacific Ocean may experience heightened hurricane and typhoon activity, as El Niño creates favorable conditions for storm intensification. This shift in weather patterns could lead to increased risks for coastal regions in the Pacific, while Atlantic coastal areas may see reduced storm threats. Source time: not specified.

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